Election Shows GOP Is Still California's Second Party

07 June, 2018, 01:59 | Author: Gregory Stephens
  • Election Shows GOP Is Still California's Second Party

"So much for the big Blue Wave, it may be a big Red Wave", he tweeted on Wednesday morning, hailing what he called "the Trump impact". My other research with Justin Phillips and Boris Shor looked at the positions that congressional and state legislative candidates took on a range of issues in the first races held under top two rules in 2012.

Democrats avoided disastrous shutouts from key California races following Tuesday's primaries, keeping them on track for strong showings in the liberal-leaning state that the party hopes will help them retake the US Congress later this year.

Xochitl Torres Small, a Democrat, and Yvette Herrell, a Republican, are both hoping to represent southern New Mexico in Congress.

Across the country Tuesday night, Democrats got good news in their effort to take back the House.

Trump also tweeted about voter turnout in California's jungle primary races, saying, "more Republican voters showed up yesterday than the Fake News thought possible".

"The California suburbs are the center of gravity for voters rejecting Republicans in the era of Trump", said Democratic strategist Jesse Ferguson.

"So there's quite a bit of concern that this would backfire and that congressional districts that would elect a Democrat in the end would be given only the choice of Republicans". The concern in their case was that so many candidates would divide the Democratic vote and let Republicans take the top two spots in some House races.

On the other hand, "the Republicans are really kind of in a desperate strait in California", said Spivak, a senior fellow at the Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform at Wagner College in NY. Tuesday's special election was the first time voters have gone to the polls in Missouri since Republican Gov. Eric Greitens resigned in disgrace amid a series of scandals.

"The "top two" primary forces people to develop these complicated strategies that in another state would seem extremely unusual", Raphael Sonenshein, executive director of the Pat Brown Institute for Public Affairs at California State University, Los Angeles, told KABC. "They were separated by about 286,000 votes". Jerry Brown isn't who wins - it's who comes in second in Tuesday's primary, one of hundreds of contests across the state that could solidify Democratic dominance here and reshape the fight for control of the U.S. Congress. There are four districts in particular that they were targeting, and in all of them Democrats advanced candidates whom national Democrats see as the strongest candidates. Ed Royce and Darrell Issa, which has opened the door to Democrat challengers. That's money that Democrats would have preferred to save for this fall.


In the race for governor, Cox defeated Villaraigosa, who was an early favorite to advance but trailed in recent months despite more than $20 million in spending on his behalf by charter school advocates.

California Lieutenant Governor and former SF Mayor Gavin Newsom is headed to the Governor's race in November after a first place finish in last night's election, but he won't be facing former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa as many expected.

Sen. Dianne Feinstein sailed through her primary and will face Senate Majority Leader Kevin de León in the general election.

There is another kind of drama playing out in other states. Memendez faced federal bribery charges past year, but the jury deadlocked and a mistrial was declared.

The governor's race was one of many drawing attention to California.

In Iowa, 28-year-old state Representative Abby Finkenauer won the Democratic nomination to oppose Republican Representative Rod Blum.

Democrats have aimed their most aggressive attacks at Rosendale, seizing on his background in Maryland and questions about his experience as a rancher.

If Roby were to lose the runoff, she would be the second House Republican defeated in a 2018 primary. She made the decision after the release of a 2005 "Access Hollywood" tape in which Trump bragged about grabbing women's genitals.

She would be the first Latina Democratic governor in US history.

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