Leaked Document Signals Bad News For Northern Ireland

10 February, 2018, 02:52 | Author: Gregory Stephens
  • Image      North East England would suffer a 16% hit to GDP under 'no deal'

According to the Guardian the European Union will sign off on a text which will see Northern Ireland remain under its laws even after the end of the Brexit transition period.

Leaked papers from the Department for Exiting the EU (DExEU) indicate Scottish economic growth would be cut under each of the three scenarios examined - a no deal Brexit, if the United Kingdom agreed a trade deal, or if it continued to remain in the European single market.

It is expected to provoke quarrels both within the ruling Conservative Party and between the government and the Democratic Unionist Party of Northern Ireland, whose ten MPs have given their support to Prime Minister Theresa May, providing her a majority in the House of Commons.

The cabinet sub-committee includes Northern Ireland secretary Karen Bradley, along with the most senior Brexiteers and Remainers in the government.

"Does she believe any analysis she has seen?" Whitehall calculated that the UK's growth would be down by eight per cent over 15 years under this scenario. "And is this too high a price to pay to stop a Tory civil war breaking out?"

Doubts over the December agreement set in shortly after the deal, when Brexit secretary David Davis said the deal was a statement of intent rather than legally binding.

"It is important to state that the UK Government wants to achieve a good deal for the UK that protects the economic integrity of the UK", she added. The two have a confidence and supply deal which allows Theresa May to run a minority government.

He told Mr Harvie: "I fully understand the concerns that you raise and agree that the arrangements put in place for MSPs to view the documents offer limited opportunity for scrutiny, and further that it is unhelpful to receive such late notice of those proposals".

More than 200 people signed the letter which was sent to Ireland's Prime Minister
Image Northern Ireland could face a 12% hit to GDP

According to Sky News, the report contains a region-by-region breakdown of potential GDP losses under three scenarios: staying in the single market, leaving with a free-trade deal, and a no-deal Brexit.

A spokesperson said: "This document does not represent Government policy and does not consider the outcome we are seeking in the negotiations".

"We are not expecting a no deal scenario".

"Options for achieving that should not have been swept off the negotiating table, including being in a customs union with our largest trading partner".

Liberal Democrat Brexit spokesman Tom Brake said: "This is a damning outlook for Britain". The Tories are putting everything on the line because they do not care about the lives and livelihoods of the people of the North East.

The SNP government's January report found that a no-deal Brexit would cost the Scottish economy nearly £13bn a year by 2030.

"The Government need to start being clear what they are fighting for".


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